Analysis: Assessing Modelo Especial’s Ascent in America

For the first time, Mexican beer Modelo Especial recently became the top-selling beer in North America, surpassing Bud Light, which had been the number one beer for two decades.

Modelo’s ascent in North America begs the question: What does this news signify for the alcohol industry?

According to Nielsen IQ data published in The New Yorker, sales of Bud Light fell 7.3%, while Modelo Especial rose by 8.4% in the same period. The growth can be attributed to a number of factors: first, there’s a new generation of consumers who prefer alternative and imported beers and are willing to pay more for something different. NBC News reported that Modelo Especial´s sales have been growing consistently in recent years.

Another factor that may have contributed to Bud Light´s decline is a recent controversy involving Dylan Mulvaney, a transgender influencer who promoted a Bud Light contest. Mulvaney´s post on Instagram caused a conservative-led boycott against Bud Light, and since then the stocks of Anheuser-Busch, the company that manages Bud Light, dropped significantly, losing almost $25 billion in market value according to Forbes.

Building Momentum

Despite recent events, the truth is that Modelo Especial and other Mexican beers (such as Corona, Pacifico, and Negra Modelo) have steadily been gaining popularity in North America. In fact, according to a recent article in The Washington Post, 97% of all Mexican beer exports go to the United States.

Additionally, recent information from Trade Data Monitor shows that Mexico accounts for 30% of the world´s entire export-beer market, putting the Netherlands in second place with 14%, followed by Belgium with 13% and Germany with 9%.

The market has become more competitive, with a variety of options available to drinkers, including beers, canned cocktails, and non-alcoholic products. Moreover, the Latin American beverage industry is growing, and not only Mexican beers are attractive for North Americans, but also Brazilian beers, Colombian beers, Costa Rican beers, among others.

This trend is apparent in the popularity of imported beers in the U.S. Here’s a list of the most popular Latin American beers in America:

  • Imperial (from Costa Rica)

  • Pacífico (Mexico)

  • Negra Modelo (Mexico)

  • Club Colombia (Colombia)

  • Quilmes (Argentina)

  • Cusqueña (Peru)

  • Dos Equis (Mexico)

  • Port Royal Export (Honduras)

  • Polar (Venezuela)

Manufacturers Forced to Get Creative

The U.S. is the world’s largest beer importer, accounting for almost two out of every five cross-border beer dollars. There’s no doubt that the U.S. beer market is important for Latin American beer producers and exporters around the world, who are seeking to expand their operations to meet the growing demand for their products.

In 2023, consumers are looking for unique and interesting flavors. With the increasing number of beer options in the market, the U.S. beer industry has become dynamic. Compared to a decade ago, consumers now have a lot more beverage alternatives, which has challenged different brands to design more compelling and creative marketing and sales strategies. For example, some breweries are experimenting with spice flavors in beers, and others have gluten-free beers, reaching a smaller and more specific segment.

Ultimately, recent events show that the beer market in America is evolving, and consumers are becoming more selective with their choices, allowing brands like Modelo Especial to achieve higher sales and make an attention-grabbing ascent.

Innovative Agrifoodtech Startups Abound in Latin America

Latin America is known for being one of the most biodiverse regions in the world and, therefore, the main supplier of all kinds of F&B items, such as meat, coffee, soy, and cacao.

At present, agriculture in Latin America is still often in the hands of smallholder farmers. According to J.P. Morgan Private Bank, 14 million smallholder farmers are responsible for 50% of the total food production. Most of them don’t have access to equipment and technologies that could help increase food production and access the supply chain.

For these reasons, innovators, startups, agribusinesses, and farmers are working together to improve the region’s food system through technological solutions, as reported by AFN.

Here are the six Latin American agrifoodtech startups that are revolutionizing how we produce, distribute, and consume food around the globe.

NotCo

Founded in 2015 in Chile, NotCo is known for its alt-protein products like milk, ice cream, burgers and meat. Additionallly, the brand has developed Giuseppe, an AI platform for alt-protein which can identify diverse and accurate combinations that resemble the taste and textures of animal-based meats and milks.

In essence, the company has created an algorithm that can learn how to combine an infinite combination of plants to replicate animal products.

Solinftec

A Brazilian company founded in 2007, Solinftec´s mission is to build technology to create productive and responsible agriculture for the future of the planet.

Through its AI software ALICE, Solinftec provides growers real-time and decision-making information regarding planting, harvesting, spraying and tendering. Currently, the company manages more than 27 million acres in real-time in 11 countries across the globe, and works mostly with sugarcane, soy, corn, cotton, coffee, timber, and citrus.

Agrolend

Founded in Brazil three years ago, Agrolend is a platform that helps small and medium-sized farmers have access to credit as easily as possible.

Through the platform, farmers can get supplies and equipment that increase their productivity and profitability in agricultural production. Agrolend aims to become the first digital bank in the Latin American agribusiness sector.

The company has a group of more than 30 investors, representing a financial capacity greater than R$80 billion.

Frubana

Frubana is an online marketplace that connects restaurants and food retailers with farmers.

Founded in 2018, this Colombian company has the mission to reduce the intermediation between producers and consumers and make the purchase of products affordable and on time through an intelligent routing system.

Aravita

Aravita, a Brazilian company that uses AI-powered solutions to reduce overstocking, food waste, and unnecessary costs in the fresh food retail industry, is driving positive impact on the economic, social, and environmental spectrum.

Through the platform, retailers such as supermarkets can optimize their purchase of fruits and vegetables based on data like climate, seasonality, consumer behavior, and economic conditions of the market.

Seedz

Seedz was founded in Brazil in 2017 with the mission to provide a safe online marketplace for producers, distributors, resellers, and cooperatives.

Seedz generates technological solutions by analyzing important information about the market and the customers` needs. This helps agribusinesses boost profits. From creating a safe transactional platform to generating AI software for finding better solutions, these Latin American startups have a common goal: to improve the food system by adding value through technology, and to generate more opportunities for everyone in the food industry.

“Being the connection between those who feed the world is our purpose,” noted the company’s website.

4 Movements Impacting Retail in Latin America

Adapting to inflation, changing consumer preferences, and omnichannel has been a challenge for Latin America’s grocery industry.

Nevertheless, in the past few years, retailers in Latin America have developed innovative strategies to create resilient products and services. Analysis of McKinsey’s recent report shows that Latin America´s grocery industry is projected to grow 5% in 2023, placing it among the top performing regions in the world.

Latin America has highlighted four impactful trends for retailers recently, including:

4. Private brands have been elevated

Consumers are increasingly demanding healthier products. This has created a need among retailers to adapt their assortment and create private brands to meet the demand.

Therefore, retailers are building partnerships with strategic suppliers to offer, for example, sugar-free, organic, non-GMO, gluten-free and plant-based products. This provides several benefits, such as having control of the product’s quality and providing transparency to consumers, thus increasing trust in the brand.

However, creating private brands and adapting assortment can be challenging, and that’s why retailers must identify best practices for brand strategy, pricing, sourcing and the organization and operating model. It’s also imperative to include proprietary tools and analytics to assess the strategy’s effectiveness – especially when compared to the performance of competitors.

Grocery retail in Latin America is evolving rapidly, and consumers are demanding products that respond to their needs. For this reason, retailers are implementing technology and data analysis to create strategies that can provide personalized products to customers.

3. Channel switching according to purchase preferences

Consumers have demonstrated a preference to use multiple channels for shopping of late. For example, for fresh foods like vegetables and fruits, modern consumers often prefer going to a physical store, but if they’re simply going to buy flour they prefer to order online.

For this reason, it’s important that grocery retailers maintain a high shopping experience in all channels. In Latin America, physical stores account for nearly 90% of grocery spending, while online channels account for close to 11%, according to McKinsey’s report – though online shopping gained ground in recent years, especially when COVID-19 arrived.

The challenges of online channels involve penetration and frequency of use. Consumers prefer to frequent physical stores during the week, because of the personal contact and the elevated shipping costs for online purchases. Nevertheless, grocery retailers can work in promotions strategies and lower delivery costs to promote online purchases.

2. Technology and analytics

One of the most important trends in grocery retail in Latin America is investing in digital tools and advanced analytics capabilities to learn consumers’ behavioral habits.

Providing personalized shopping experiences, based on data, could increase the revenues of retailers. In McKinsey´s study, one grocery retail company was found to have increased revenue 1.5% by investing in data driven personalization.

 Nowadays, there are diverse tools that not only analyze consumers’ buying behavior, but also have algorithms to determine the most effective methods of communication for each consumer. Additionally, using technology could decrease the costs of campaigns by 50%. This allows the retail industry to tailor products and services to specific consumer segments with up-to-date information.

1. A focus on loyalty

In the grocery retail industry, personalization is becoming an essential factor for loyalty growth. Personalization allows retailers to build stronger relationships with their customers. According to a study by Coresight Research and Sailthru, 71% of consumers will shop more often with brands or retailers that personalize their communications.

Creating personalization strategies can strengthen loyalty and increase retention, engagement and sales. One extensive report about personalization trends shows that it’s a proven strategy for generating a solid ROI.

Latin America’s Gen Z Consumers Evolving Rapidly

Gen Z consumers in Latin America are evolving rapidly and reshaping the market. And that fact has created a few challenges – as well as opportunities – for companies like those in the food sector.

According to Mitsui & Co.’s late 2022 report, Gen Z will significantly impact Latin America´s consumer market by the year 2030, when the generation reaches the working-age period.

Born between 1996 and 2012, Gen Zers are characterized for preferring authentic brands that align with their principles and values. That’s the reason why these young consumers look for sustainable and local products that are focused on aiding the environment and community.

Environmental awareness

Gen Z is looking for ways to contribute to environmental awareness and sustainable consumption. This generation often considers corporations’ transparency about their environmental and social impact more relevant than the product itself.

For example, Mexico’s Grupo Bimbo announced a recent corporate strategy that represents the interests of Gen Z, including soil regeneration through raw material procurement, food traceability and contributing to local communities.

On the other hand, most of Latin America´s Gen Zers are vegetarians and vegans besides the strong food culture they have around meat consumption. According to Mordor Intelligence, meat consumption has stagnated across Latin America and is expected to decrease in the coming years due to the health benefits of a plant-based diet and the growing concern about animal abuse for meat production.

Social consciousness 

For Gen Z it’s important that the food companies they purchase from provide easy access to their social responsibility practices.

For example, Gen Z consumers tend to support local food systems that include working with local farmers and suppliers, fair labor practices and promoting economic development and food security in within communities. This youthful generation values that local culture and practices are respected and the heritage of the community is maintained.

According to Sonomi Omori, analysist in Mitsui & Co., Gen Z consumer behavior is a way of realizing the youths’ own ideals and contributing to social responsibility through a brand.

Digital generation

One of the key characteristics of Gen Z is that the demographic prefers to engage digitally. Gen Zers search for complete information about a product or brand in digital channels and listen to opinions of friends, family and social media influencers before purchasing anything.

As a matter of fact, 30% of Gen Z consumers trust independent consumer reviews in Latin America, according to Euromonitor International’s Voice of the Consumer in its Lifestyles Survey. Therefore, marketing strategies must focus on testimonials and reviews more than traditional advertising.

Ultimately, the evolving Latin American Gen Z consumers value a brand that aligns with their principles and demonstrate a commitment to sustainability and social responsibility. This represents a challenge to the food industry; companies must be able to understand Gen Z needs and build a brand image of care for environmental awareness and social consciousness.

Additionally, brands that invest in digital marketing strategies will have a strong impact on Gen Z by portraying themselves as transparent and open companies.

By taking these actions, the food industry can build trust and a strong relationship with this rapidly evolving generation of Latin American consumers.